Peer-Reviewed Publications
2025. "Navigating Violence Between Surface and Below: Effect of Protester Reaction to Violent Flanks on Mobilization." Journal of Global Security Studies.
Whether endorsing or opposing a violent flank helps a movement grow depends on fragmentation discrepancy, the gap between how unified a movement looks and how cohesive it actually is, which reconciles mixed findings on radical flank effects.
2025. "When Repression Surprises: Contextual Deviations and Protest Mobilization." Research & Politics.
Mobilization responds less to how much repression occurs than to how far it departs from what people have come to expect; a discrepancy-based measure yields a consistent U-shape across datasets where absolute measures disagree.
2025. "Riding the Tide: How Online Activists Leverage Repression." Social Science Computer Review.
Repression is an opportunity as well as a cost for online activists: after Occupy Wall Street's major crackdowns, activist networks on Twitter became less insular as activists reached across groups to attract new audiences.
Under Review
- "The Geography of Recognition: Repression and Protest Escalation." [PDF]
Excessive force triggers protester-initiated violence where communities expect outsiders to ignore them but can witness repression collectively, making escalation a way to keep an injustice from being erased.
- "Between Order and Anarchy: A Hobbesian Logic of State Coercion." [PDF]
Governments recalibrate repression toward the level observers have come to expect, pulling back sharply after over-repression and escalating after restraint, with corrections strongest where coercion is visible and insecurity is high.
- "When Cooperation Surprises: Dissident Network and State Repression." [PDF]
States judge dissident alliances against what shared goals would predict: improbable cross-cleavage alliances are followed by less lethal repression, while unrealized but goal-consistent ties draw quieter, non-lethal coercion.
- "When Violence Binds: Shared Repression and Opposition Cooperation." [PDF]
Opposition organizations that endure lethal repression at the same protest are far more likely to stay allied and keep protesting together than those repressed separately; shared victimization, not common victimhood, builds durable cooperation.
Works in Progress
- "The Advantage of Misalignment: Rebel Networks and Negotiation Onset."
(with Minnie Minhyung Joo)
- "Beyond Peacekeeping: The Influence of Aid Networks on Peace."
(with Susanna Campbell, David Cunningham, and Jessica Braithwaite)
- "When Repression Becomes Invisible: AI and the Politics of Evidence."
- "Protest Violence and Gender Equality: A Rationalist Approach."
- "When Torture Has No End: Nested Dissident Networks and State Repression."